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August 28 - Sunday - Mandatory Evacuation


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Overnight Katrina intensified to a 175 mph Cat 5 storm and seemed to head straight for New Orleans.  Mayor Nagin ordered the first ever mandatory evacuation of New Orleans. Nagin warned that Katrina's expected storm surge -- which could top 28 feet -- would likely topple levees.

"We are facing a storm that most of us have feared," Nagin said. "I don't want to create panic, but I do want the citizens to understand that this is very serious, and it is of the highest nature."

Nagin said the city's shelters should be used as a last resort and said that people who use them should bring enough food, water and supplies to last for several days. He said that the Superdome, the city's shelter of last resort, "is not going to be a very comfortable place at some point in time."

"The shelters will end up probably without electricity or with minimum electricity from generators in the end," Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Blanco said. "There may be intense flooding that will be not in our control which would be ultimately the most dangerous situation that many of our people could face." Blanco said that New Orleans could expect a complete loss of electricity and water services as well as intense flooding.

Residents who had delayed their departure jammed Interstate 10 westbound, prompting Blanco to urge evacuees to go north.

Between 20,000 and 25,000 others who remained in the city lined up to take shelter in the Louisiana Superdome, lining up for what authorities warned would be an unpleasant day and a half at minimum. Another 100,000 hunkered down at home, praying that the storm would veer away.

Federal Emergency Management Agency teams and other emergency teams were already in place to move in as soon as the storm was over, FEMA Under Secretary Michael Brown said. "There's about 36 hours for folks to get ready. Beyond that, it's just too late." Its hard to understand what he meant as the storm was less that 24 hours away.

NOAA issued the most terrifying advisory I have ever seen:

Offical NOAA advisory

000 WWUS74 KLIX 281550 NPWLIX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED...

.HURRICANE KATRINA...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.

MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.

THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.

HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.

AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.

POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.

THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE KILLED.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE!



Much ado has been made over the apparent lateness of the evacuation order. The emergency declaration, Weather Channel coverage and the internet coverage got me and most of the rest of the city moving without waiting for a formal evacuation order. Slidell ordered evacuation of areas south of I-12.

Our convoy was on the move at 8am heading toward Jackson. After a run up I-59 to Hattiesburg we turned northwest on US49 into Jackson. There was little traffic except for a backup at the traffic light just outside Flora.
( Something about highway traffic lights and evacuation orders needs to be addressed. Perhaps during an evacuation all the lights on the evacuation routes could be changed to flash yellow in the evacuation direction.) Polling the other diners at a breakfast stop in Hattiesburg convinced us that New Orleans was indeed on the move.

The evacuation from New Orleans was picking up dramatically on Sunday morning. Relatives who delayed their departure until 11 am ran into to heavy traffic but still made it to Jackson in about double the normal drive time. This seems to indicate the contraflow was working well and that residents were getting out of town in an orderly fashion. The storm was less than twenty-four hours away.


August 27 - Saturday - Evacuation Begins August 29 - Monday - Wind, Rain, Flood


Created : 11/28/2005 8:44:14 AM Updated: 8/3/2007 6:37:28 PM

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